Tipster Picks

Welcome to Tipster Picks!

We all need a bit of help sometimes, and our tipping trio are always on hand to share their wisdom in our games. They are:

  • The MailmanBetter service than De Bruyne
  • The TeacherGiving lessons on a weekly
  • Incognito ProThe best spy since Bielsa

Will you follow their advice, or go your own way?

Ahead of the Football Survivor and Big5 2023/24 season opener this August 12, the tipsters have been mining the data once again:

The Mailman says…

  • My pick: Manchester United are undefeated in 2024 and have won their last four games, scoring 11 times. They seem much-improved in front of goal with Hojlund becoming the youngest Premier League player to score in six consecutive games and it is the first time in 6 months that United has had a positive goal difference! While Fulham have the second-worst away record in the league, winning only once on the road this season and that was their very first match of the campaign back in August last year against Everton!
  • Potential pick: Arsenal have been on a high since their winter break in Dubai, winning every game so far this year, scoring 21 goals and only conceding twice. This is the first time they have won their opening five games in a calendar year in their 138-year history! Although their opponents Newcastle seem to have recovered from their losing streak and are undefeated in four games, the Magpies have conceded 16 goals in their last six games and could be in trouble against Arsenal’s flourishing attack.
  • Risky pick: Things are looking dire at the moment at West Ham who have lost their last three and let in 11 goals in those defeats. The Hammers have not won since the end of last year and David Moyes’ future at the club is now under threat. Their Last home game was a 6-nil hammering by Arsenal, and a similar home performance this week will not help the manager’s cause with the fans!

The Teacher says…

  • My pick:The Gunners are flying right now, winning all five Premier League games this year, scoring 21 times in those matches and conceding only twice. Newcastle have admittedly won four in a row away (all competitions) but they have by far the worst PL expected goals against (xGA) figure in 2024 (16.39 across six games) which suggests the home attack – and their league-leading set-piece team – could have a field day.
  • Potential pick: The Bees won at Wolves on their last road trip and now looks a good time to be facing West Ham (three points from six games and fans turning on David Moyes). The Hammers’ underlying data hasn’t been great for some time and now results are reflecting that. They’ve conceded the second-most shots in the top flight and Brentford’s Ivan Toney (four goals in five games since suspension) and their set-piece threat should cause problems.
  • Risky pick: After going virtually 12 months without a home defeat, Villa have now lost three on the spin in all competitions. After being hard-hit by AFCON, Forest focused on shoring up at the back and only Arsenal have a better xGA figure since the turn of the year. With players now back, including the fit-again Taiwo Awoniyi, the visitors can take something in this Midlands derby.

Incognito Pro says…

  • My pick: Arsenal have got their title charge back on track with five straight wins in the league and scoring an amazing 21 goals in the process! Defensively they have been great too, with two clean sheets in their last two games, giving them the most clean sheets this season with ten so far! They will fancy their chances against a Newcastle side that have been inconsistent and have now dropped to eighth in the league.
  • Potential pick: Although Brentford have lost four from six games this calender year; these losses were against top-five sides in City (twice), Liverpool, and Spurs, and they did manage to pick up two wins including an impressive 2-nil away win at Wolves. Ivan Toney has made a huge impact in their attack since his return from suspension, while their opponents West Ham have not won in their last six games, losing three in a row, and could suffer to the Bee’s improved threat in front of goal.
  • Risky pick: It could be tempting to back Palace at home against Burnley this week but they have only managed one win so far in 2024 against Sheffield United and have worryingly conceded 15 goals in their last five games. Burnley have had a tough run of fixtures but did manage to pick up draws against Luton and Fulham in 2024. Burnley’s last away game not against a top-four team, was Fulham which they managed to win 2-nil and so will be looking to do the same at Selhurst Park on Saturday.

Good luck!

Football Picks